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Our local real estate market experts at Market Watch LLC have just released their September Desert Housing Report. Here’s a summary:
SEPTEMBER SALES RECOVERY: At the height of the pandemic in January of 2021, home sales were 59.7% above the norm (based on home sales over the years 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019). By January of this year, home sales fell to 34.7% below the norm. After improving for four months at the beginning of this year, home sales have stopped improving and are now 27.7% below the norm for this time of year. Market Watch’s confessed that their prediction early this year that home sales would return to the norm by the end of the year is no longer realistic. They explained that it was based on their belief that inflation would fall to 3% and mortgage rates would be around 5.5% by the end of the year. They felt that recent actions by the Federal Reserve now makes this unlikely.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY DETACHED HOME MEDIAN PRICE: The median price of a detached home in the Coachella Valley ended September at $660,404 (unchanged from August but down 1.4% year over year). Market Watch felt that the small decline in detached home median prices over the last four months was primarily a seasonal decline (since the summer months almost always bring some price weakness in detached homes in the Coachella Valley). However, they also noted that with both inventory and home sales at low levels, supply and demand continue to remain in balance.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY ATTACHED HOME MEDIAN PRICE: The attached home median price in the Coachella Valley in September was $435,000 (down $4,000 from August & down 6.5% year over year). Market Watch stated that the seasonal change in the price of attached homes is much larger than that for detached homes. Market Watch expects that if the normal seasonal pattern continues, the attached home median price should begin to increase moving into the end of the year and into the new year.
SEPTEMBER 12 MONTH CHANGE IN THE PRICE OF THE AVERAGE SIZE HOME BY CITY: In every city, other than La Quinta and Bermuda Dunes, the price of the average size detached home in that city declined year-over-year in September. The declines in price of the average size detached homes ranged from -0.8% for the 1,600 sq ft average size detached home in Desert Hot Springs to -7.9% for the 2,200 sq ft average size detached home in Palm Desert. The price of the average size attached home increased year-over-year in September in six Coachella Valley cities, ranging from an increase of +1.2% for the 1,450 sq ft average size attached home in Bermuda Dunes to +10.1% for the 1,950 sq ft average size attached home in Indian Wells.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY MONTHLY HOME SALES – 3-MONTH TRAILING AVERAGE: In the Coachella Valley, the three-month average of home sales declined in September to 532 homes per month (down 49 homes or 8.4% from 581 home sales in September 2022). Market Watch pointed out that in September the homes sales decline continued proportionally in both the detached and attached market. In September, the Coachella Valley’s monthly average home sales were running 27.7% below the norm calculated from home sales in 2016 through 2019).

SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY MONTHLY HOME SALES – 12 MONTH TRAILING AVERAGE: Home sales, using a 12-month trailing average (which removes seasonality from the data), averaged 573 homes per month in September (down 6 home sales from August and down 250 homes sales or 30.4% from 823 home sales per month in September 2022). Market Watch felt that this chart showed that the long-term average of monthly home sales was flattening and they believe the worst is over. However, they stated that they continue to believe that home sales won’t recover until mortgage rates come down from 7.5% to around 5%.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY HOME SALES BY CITY: In every Coachella Valley city, other that Cathedral City, Indian Wells, Desert Hot Springs and Rancho Mirage, the 3-month average of home sales declined year-over-year in September. The largest home sales decline was in Palm Springs (down 18% year-over-year). The largest home sales increase was in Rancho Mirage (up 18%). Market Watch noted that home sales were comparable to year ago levels in every city, which showed that the low home sales problem in the region is widespread and not unique to any particular city.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY HOME SALES BY PRICE RANGE: Market Watch noted that home sales were comparable to September 2022 levels in all price ranges (other than for homes priced between $600,000 and $900,000).
OCOTOBER 1st COACHELLA VALLEY HOME INVENTORY: On October 1st , Coachella Valley home inventory was 1,762 homes (up from 1,601 homes on September 1st and down from 1,801 homes on October 1st, 2022). Market Watch felt that some of this increase in inventory was seasonal and they expect the seasonal increase in inventory to continue for the next 3 or 4 months.
OCTOBER 1ST COACHELLA VALLEY REGIONAL MONTHS OF SALES RATIO: On October 1st, the Coachella Valley’s months of sales ratio was 3.1 months (up from 2.8 months on September 1st and up from 2.2 months on October 1st, 2022). Market Watch explained that this fundamental ratio measures supply and demand and they felt that at 3.1 months it represented a balanced housing market pointing to relatively stable home prices going forward.
OCTOBER 1st MONTHS OF SALES RATIO BY PRICE RANGE: The months of sales ratio was higher year-over-year in every price range. Because the increase in the months of sale ratios year-over-year were approximately the same in all price ranges, Market Watch felt that this showed that the Coachella Valley housing market had no distortions in supply and demand in any price bracket.
OCTOBER 1st MONTHS OF SALES RATIO BY CITY: The months of sales ratio was higher year-over-year in every Coachella Valley city other than Coachella. The increase in the months of sale ratios year-over-year were approximately the same in all cities other than Thousand Palms.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY REGIONAL DAYS IN THE MARKET: At the end of September, the median number of days in the market in the Coachella Valley was 38 days (same as in August and six days more than the 32 days in September 2022). Because of continuing low inventory, Market Watch thought that the median selling time will stay around current levels for some time.
SEPTEMBER COACHELLA VALLEY DAYS IN THE MARKET BY CITY: In September, Coachella had the lowest median selling time for detached homes at 24 (down from 28 days in September 2022), followed by Cathedral City at 31 (up from 29 days in September 2022), and then Desert Hot Springs at 32 days (up from 29 days in September 2022). With regard to attached homes, Desert Hot Springs had the shortest average selling time at 28 days (up from 23 days in September 2022), followed by La Quinta at 33 days (down from 50 days in September 2022) and Palm Springs at 35 days (up from 26 days in September 2022).
SEPTEMBER PERCENTAGE OF HOMES SELLING ABOVE LIST PRICE: In September, 17.1% of home sales in the Coachella Valley sold above list price (compared to 28.8% in September 2022). Market Watch stated that the percentage of homes selling above list price to remain at current levels moving into fall and winter and as home inventory grows.
SEPTEMBER AVERAGE HOME SALE PRICE DISCOUNTS BY CITY: In September, detached homes were selling for an average discount ranging from -0.2% in Coachella to -3.0% in Rancho Mirage. Average discounts for attached homes in September ranged from -1.5% in Indio to -4.3% in Bermuda Dunes.
The Briggs Group / Coldwell Banker Realty | Laurie Briggs DRE 01896117 | Tim Briggs DRE 01898254 | Coldwell Banker Realty DRE 00616212




COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST SALES RECOVERY: After improving for four months, Coachella Valley home sales in August stopped moving toward normal for this time of year (based on Coachella Valley home sales in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019) and are currently 24.4% below the norm. Market Watch admitted that their projection for normal home sales by the end of the year is no longer realistic. They explained that it was based on their belief that inflation would fall to 3% and mortgage rates would fall to 5.5% by the end of the year. Market Watch noted that recent actions by the FED made this unlikely.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST DETACHED HOME MEDIAN PRICE: The median price of a detached home in the Coachella Valley at the end of August was $660,404 (down 0.8% from $665,500 in July and down 3.2% from $682,000 in August 2022). Market Watch felt that this decrease in the detached home median price was primarily a seasonal decline, since the summer months in the Coachella Valley almost always bring some price weakness. Market Watch did not expect this to translate into anything more than a seasonal issue, because while home sale inventory is slowly contracting, home sales are also low, so supply and demand remain in balance.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST ATTACHED HOME MEDIAN PRICE: The median price of an attached home in the Coachella Valley at the end of August was $439,000 (down 2.4% from $450,000 in July and down 6.1% from $467,500 in August 2022). Market Watch noted that if the normal seasonal pattern were to continue, attached home median price weakness should continue for another month or two. Lastly, they believed this attached home median price weakness was seasonal, since supply and demand remain in balance.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST TWELVE MONTH CHANGE IN THE PRICE OF THE AVERAGE SIZE HOME BY CITY: In August, in every Coachella Valley city other than Desert Hot Springs home prices decreased year-over-year price for each city’s average size detached home. The price decreases ranged from 3.2% for the average size 3,175 sq ft detached home in Rancho Mirage to 11.6% for the average size 3,450 sq ft home in Indian Wells. Desert Hot Springs experienced a year-over-year increase in August of 0.2% in the price of the average size 1,600 sq ft detached home in that city. For attached homes in the Coachella Valley in August, four cities (Indian Wells, Desert Hot Springs, La Quinta and Rancho Mirage) saw year-over-year increases in the price of the average size home in those cities ranging from a year-over-year increase of 1.4% in the price of the average size 1,775 sq ft attached home in Rancho Mirage to an increase of 13% in the price of the 1,950 sq ft average size attached home in Indian Wells. Year-over-year attached home price decreases in the other Coachella Valley cities in August ranged from a decrease of 0.1% in the price of the average size 1,050 sq ft attached home in Indio to a decrease of 11.3% in the price of the average size 1,450 sq ft attached home in Bermuda Dunes.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST MONTHLY HOME SALES - THREE MONTH TRAILING AVERAGE: The three-month average of home sales declined year-over-year in August to 623 home sales (51 home sales or 7.6% less than the average of 674 home sales in August 2022). Market Watch pointed out that the home sales decrease is occurring proportionally in both the detached and attached market and mirrors the Coachella Valley’s seasonal home price decline. Again, August Coachella Valley average monthly home sales were approximately 24.4% below the 2016-2019 historic norm.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST MONTHLY HOME SALES - TWELVE MONTH TRAILING AVERAGE: In August, the Coachella Valley’s 12-month average of home sales (which takes out seasonality from the data) averaged 579 units a month (down 31.3% from an average of 843 home sales per month in August 2022). Market Watch felt that the long-term average of home sales was starting to flatten out and the worst may be over. They did state that monthly average home sales won’t fully recover until mortgage rates fall from 7.5% to around 5%.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST HOME SALES BY CITY: In August, year-over-year home sales decreased in every Coachella Valley city other that Cathedral City and Rancho Mirage (where monthly home sales increased year-over-year by 10.6% in Cathedral City and 11.3% in Rancho Mirage). The largest percentage decreases year-over-year in August were in Palm Springs (down 18.5% year-over-year) and Indio (down 11.1% year-over-year).
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST HOME SALES BY PRICE RANGE: Market Watch felt that home sales in all price ranges were finally comparable to August 2022 levels. In fact, the two years looked like mirror images of each other. They did note one exception in sales of homes priced over $800,000, where home sales averaged about 20% less than in August 2022.
COACHELLA VALLEY SEPTEMBER 1ST TOTAL HOME SALE INVENTORY: On September 1st, the Coachella Valley home sale inventory was 1,601 homes (down 28 homes from August 1st and up 8 homes from September 1st, 2022). Market Watch noted that some of the recent slow decline in inventory was seasonal but the primary reason for the low inventory level was the low number of new listings. They expected the normal seasonal increase in inventory to begin next month.
COACHELLA VALLEY SEPTEMBER 1st REGIONAL MONTHS OF SALES RATIO: On September 1st, the Coachella Valley’s months of sales ratio was 2.8 months (up from 1.9 months on September 1st, 2022). Market Watch noted that the months of sales ratio measures supply and demand and they felt that 2.8 months represented a balanced housing market. In turn, they felt this points to continuing stable home prices.
COACHELLA VALLEY SEPTEMBER 1st MONTHS OF SALES RATIO BY PRICE RANGE: Market Watch noted that the September 1st months of sale ratios were higher than the September 1st, 2022 months of sales ratios in every price range. Market Watch felt that the fact that the year-over-year increase was approximately equal across all price ranges indicated that the Coachella Valley market was showing no distortion in supply and demand in any price bracket.
COACHELLA VALLEY SEPTEMBER 1ST MONTHS OF SALES BY CITY: Market Watch commented that other than in Thousand Palms what was notable is how equal the increases were in each city compared to year ago levels. They felt that this showed that supply and demand were balanced in all of the Coachella Valley cities.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST REGIONAL DAYS IN THE MARKET: At the end of August, the median number of days in the market in the Coachella Valley was 38 days (up from 28 days in August 2022). Because of low home sale inventory, Market Watch expected the regional days in the market to continue to gradually move lower and be equal to year ago levels within a month or two.
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST DAYS IN THE MARKET BY CITY: The city of Coachella continued to have the lowest median selling time for detached homes at 22 days (down from 26 in August 2022), followed by Cathedral City at 31 days (up from 23 days in August 2022) and then Desert Hot Springs at 32 days (up from 19 days in August 2022). In the case of attached homes, in August Desert Hot Springs had the shortest average selling time at 29 days (up from 22 in August 2022), followed by La Quinta at 30 days (down from 35 days in August 2022) and Palm Springs at 33 days (up from 20 days in August 2022).
COACHELLA VALLEY AUGUST PERCENTAGE OF HOMES SELLING OVER LIST PRICE: In the Coachella Valley in August, 17.5% of homes sold above list price (compared to 38% in August 2022). Market Watch expected the percentage of homes selling over list to remain at current levels as inventory grows moving into fall and winter.